Bitcoin hovers around $63,600 following the halving

Bitcoin underwent its quadrennial halving at 8:10 pm ET Friday in New York, reducing block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

Immediately following the event, the price of bitcoin (BTC) was largely unchanged at around $63,600. It was trading 1.15% higher over 24-hours at time of publication, per Coinbase.

The largest cryptocurrency is now 13% lower than its all-time high of $73,000 set in March. It’s the first time bitcoin has entered a halving event so closely after hitting a new price record.

Despite historical precedent of bitcoin reaching new highs in the months following a halving, analysts warn this time could be different. JPMorgan researchers — along with most teams across the crypto industry — say the halving is already priced in.

In the months following bitcoin’s last halving in 2020, the crypto notched its former all-time high of $69,000. Similarly, in 2016, it hit $20,000.

As Iranian-Israeli tensions persist, geopolitical tensions may still be weighing on crypto markets. On Thursday night, Israel carried out a retaliatory attack against Iran. Bitcoin crashed to below $60,000 following reports of the strike. It pared some losses Friday, trading in the mid-$60,000 range for most of the day.

Hashdex Chief Investment Officer Samir Kerbage told Blockworks via email that the firm believes, despite how the halving “plays out,” that “the investment case for bitcoin remains as strong as ever as institutional interest accelerates amidst a favorable macro environment and positive on-chain developments.”

Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter.

Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Subscribe to the Forward Guidance newsletter.

Get alpha directly in your inbox with the 0xResearch newsletter — market highlights, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, and more.

The Lightspeed newsletter is all things Solana, in your inbox, every day. Subscribe to daily Solana news from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.